It was a tale of two seasons for the Colts who started the year 1-5. One of those early losses was to Country Manager Job Description Houston, a defeat in overtime in Week 4. After the disastrous start, the Colts would finish the season 9-1 led by a defense that ranks in the top-10 in both defensive QB rating and yards per rush.
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The Rams are coming off a 27-point thrashing of the New York Giants. The under has gone 5-2 the past seven times that Los Angeles has entered off a win of more than 25 points. While our model expects the Rams to win easily, it’s honing in on the under as the top play in this game.
Los Angeles Rams @ Atlanta Falcons
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win. Robert’s working to help fellow casual bettors find an edge and become more engaged with betting trends and picks. Robert hopes to connect with like-minded casual bettors through his work, and to maybe help them make a little extra walking around money along the way.
During their five-game winning streak, the Packers have won both home games by double digits. Since getting blown out in the season opener, Green Bay has had a top-five defense. Bovada’s NFL odds project this to be one of the highest scoring games of Week 7, and it’s pretty clear why when you look at both offenses. Both the Steelers and Titans are 5-0, yet NFL odds makers have Pittsburgh as the road favorite in this contest. As rivals with a fierce history, this game is likely to a close-scoring and physical matchup.
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In the AFC North the 1-2 Cleveland Browns and the 2-1 Baltimore Ravens will square off to see who will grab the lead in the early going of the 2019 season. The Ravens look like one of the teams to beat in the AFC this year, but Baker Mayfield and the Browns will have upset on their minds as they enter Baltimore for the week 4 matchup against the Ravens. The Buccaneers have steadily improved each week and are now rounding into form as one of the more dangerous teams as we pass the quarter point of the 2019 NFL season. The Ravens defense has been their achilles heal thus far this season and Lamar Jackson and the offense will have to continue to carry their team against the Bengals this week. Lucky for them the Bengals defense has been anything but stout, and is giving up among the most points per game in the league this season. Lamar Jackson will likely be too much for the struggling Cincinnati defense, as no team has been able to figure out Action Jackson thus far in 2019.
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That means we have 13 games worth of betting trends to share with you, starting with Broncos vs. Browns on Thursday and ending with Saints vs. Seahawks on Monday. Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.
The line has since moved a little more in the Packers’ favor to -3.5. Even if KC did have its starting QB, we’d still like Green Bay to win this game – just maybe not at this number. The Bills’ defense is one of the best in football but it leads us back to the “who have they played? Granted, they played well against Tom Brady and the Patriots, but this will certainly be a challenge against an elusive QB in Wentz.
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Washington got two touchdown passes from QB Kirk Cousins and was thankful for having played one of the worst teams in the NFL, the New York Giants. The Giants were so bad they managed just 170 yards and did not score an offensive touchdown in a Redskins win. Back in Week 4 of the season, Pittsburgh and RB Le’Veon Bell ran all over the Ravens in a 26-9 victory. The Pittsburgh defense held Baltimore to just 288 yards of total offense and forced three turnovers, but the Ravens appear to be a much different team this late in the season. For the Bucs, they have dropped three in a row even though starting quarterback Jameis Winston has returned after an injury.
For reference, I’ll be using the initial odds released by Westgate back in May to show you how the game opened. You can use the game tiles below to find the best number, and the spread listed is based on the home team. In my opinion, the only way to consistently put yourself in a position to gain positive expected value (+EV) while betting on NFL sides is to beat the closing line. Sportsbooks gradually increase the limits they let bettors get down as the week progresses, which is an indication the book feels they’ve priced the game correctly.
Sports Betting Guides
It all starts with them spending the offseason poring over the Week 1 matchups in detail and trying to identify quality underdogs and undervalued teams. After the weekly schedule is released and Week 1 is played, bettors and analysts get some insights from the games. When a football oddsmaker determines the favorite and underdog teams, this handicap creates a margin between them. There will be only two outcomes of the bet, and the sportsbook sets the parameters for wagering on the game.